Covid 19. Statistics

Josef Stalin once said, "A single death is a tragedy. A million deaths is a statistic".
With this in mind lets look at a few statistics relevant to Covid 19, assuming a 70% infection rate, and a mortality of 3.4% (the latest WHO estimate) of those infected.

The world population is currently 7.7 billion. If Covid can not be contained, which is looking a very likely scenario, we can expect a total global death toll of 183million

The UK government is making plans for a worst case scenario of 315,000 deaths. Using the assumptions above a more realistic figure for the UK is 1.59 million.

The Grand Princess cruise liner has 3,500 people on board, of whom 2 have already died. Statistically we might expect 100 deaths total. However, there is likely to be a much higher infection rate due to the enforced close proximity of those on board this floating prison. They are likely to be older people, and they have no medical care. 100 is likely to be a forlorn hope.

The USA, with a population of 329.5 million  should expect to lose nearly 8 million of it's citizens. The denial coming from their dear leader is staggering. He has stated that the disease has been stopped, due to his actions, and facts can not be allowed to contradict him. Just like sharpiegate. The response of the US administration is to produce statistics supporting Trump the lunatic. Simply do not  test for the condition. To date fewer than 500 US citizens have been tested. If you don't test, you don't pick up cases and the official current figures confirming 332 cases are a joke. In addition 27 million americans have no health insurance, and many can not afford the test, being billed at over $300. When Mike Pence was questioned on this at a press conference, 4 times, he simply walked away.  17 deaths have been confirmed, a much higher percentage than expected, precisely because the US are suppressing infection rates to assuage the ego of the liar who will not allow people who know what they are talking about to contradict him. Perhaps he'll just tell the angel of death he's fired, his standard approach to those who won't fall into line. Good luck with that.